机构：欧元兑美元暂获支撑，下跌趋势仍无法阻挡

汇通财经APP讯——

投资银行Varengold研究团队周五(1月9日)表示，欧元兑美元在1.1766获得支撑，但仍有进一步下跌的可能。

11月德国工业订单数据下降以及欧元区消费者通胀预期下滑都对欧元产生利空影响，同时美国经济数据的利好助涨了欧元的跌势，欧元兑美元在连续下跌5日后已经到了9年来的低位。市场对于欧洲央行推出货币宽松政策的预期不断升温以及美元在就业数据公布前(就业数据可能坚定美联储加息信心)的坚挺走势都迫使欧元向9年来的新低滑落。


欧洲央行主席德拉基(Mario Draghi)表示，如果觉得有必要，欧洲央行管理委员会随时都可以采取非常规手段遏制长期低通胀的局面。

Varengold认为，投资者对于欧洲央行最快在本月推出购买欧元区主权债务的预期不断升温，导致周四欧元收在1.1792，甚至一度跌至1.1754的低点。自从去年6月以来，欧元兑美元就一直处于下跌走势。而且欧元的下跌趋势很难被打破，因此今天剩余交易时间内继续看跌欧元兑美元的走势。

Varengold表示，欧元目前跌至1.1766的支撑位。虽然目前的支撑对欧元有效，同时各个指标也显示欧元有超卖迹象，但是欧元仍有进一步下跌的可能。

北京时间16:58，欧元兑美元报1.1802/04，涨幅0.12%。



According to The Varengold Bank Research Team, the support at 1.1766 is currently holding the pair well but a further decline is likely for EUR/USD.


“A slump in German industrial orders in November and a drop in euro zone consumer inflation expectations reinforced bearish views of the euro as the U.S. data also helped push the single currency to a nine-year low, for a fifth day of losses. The euro wallowed near a nine-year low on Friday on growing expectations the European Central Bank will embark on quantitative easing, while the dollar held firm before U.S. jobs data that could cement the case for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve.”

“ECB President Mario Draghi said the bank's Governing Council stands ready to take unconventional measures if needed to stem a prolonged period of low inflation."

"The euro stood at $1.1792, having hit $1.1754 on Thursday as traders grew more convinced that the ECB might start buying euro zone sovereign debt as soon as this month.”

“Since June the bears took control over this currency pair and the euro experienced a sharp decline versus the USD. As we already said on Monday this week, the dowfall of the euro seems hard to break and thus we saw a further decline of the currency during the last trading sessions."

"The EUR has now dropped to the support level of 1.1766. At the moment the support level seems to hold but a further decline may be likely although the indicators show that the euro is highly oversold.”