春节影响无法改变就业持续低增长,韩国最快4月降息

一清 2015-02-11 15:49 来源:【转载】
本文共689.5字  |  预计阅读: 3分钟
汇通财经讯——HI投资证券公司分析师Lee Seung-joon 2月11日表示,即将到来的春节假期将会在一定程度上提振韩国2月的就业数据。
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业内分析师周三(2月11日)表示,即将到来的春节假期将会在一定程度上提振韩国2月的就业数据,但这不足以对经济有全面的提振作用,因此,韩国央行仍有可能在今年二季度时降息以提振经济。

韩国今年的春节假期从2月18-20日。韩国周三发布的1月份就业数据继续增长,HI投资证券公司分析师Lee Seung-joon表示,新年假期对就业增长有积极影响,因为零售和运输服务方面的用工需求会大幅增长。

韩国1月经季调后失业率从去年12月的3.5%下降至3.4%。韩国1月新增就业同比增加34.7万人,去年12月同比增加42.2万人。
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但是野村的经济学家Kwon Young-sun认为,韩国1月就业增长放缓使韩国央行下调了通胀预期,并且施压央行宣布降息以提振经济。

韩国发布1月就业数据后,野村证券称韩国公司业绩不佳导致就业增长缓慢。薪酬增幅缓慢以及就业增速放缓都增加了今年韩国通胀预期下、行的风险。

野村证券维持观点认为韩国央行会在4月下调利率25个基点至1.75%,并在7月进一步下调利率至1.5%。




Holidays May Distort South Korea's Jobs Data in February -- Market Talk

0230 GMT [Dow Jones] The upcoming Lunar New Year holidays will likely distort South Korea's jobs data positively in February, says HI Investment & Securities analyst Lee Seung-joon. The holidays fall on Feb. 18-20 this year after coming in January last year. "The Lunar New Year holidays are usually positive for job growth because of a spike in demand for workers in retail and transportation services," Lee says after the country on Wednesday reported it maintained jobs growth in January. Korea's seasonally adjusted jobless rate fell to 3.4% in January from 3.5% a month earlier. The number of new jobs in the country rose by 347,000 in January from a year earlier following a 422,000 gain in Decemb


DJ#: South Korea's Slow Job Growth Calls for More Rate Cuts -- Market Talk

0322 GMT [Dow Jones] South Korea's slowing job growth in January calls for the Bank of Korea to downgrade its inflation outlook and further cut its policy rates to help boost the economy, says Nomura economist Kwon Young-sun. "The slow pace of job creation is mainly a result of poor corporate performance," Kwon says after Korea's release of January jobs data. He says muted wage growth alongside weak job growth should increase the downside risks to this year's inflation forecasts. Nomura maintains its call for the BOK to cut base rates by 25 basis points to 1.75% in April and further to 1.5% in July. Korea's seasonally adjusted jobless rate fell to 3.4% in January from 3.5% a month earlier. The number of new jobs in the country rose by 347,000 in January from a year earlier following a 422,000 gain in December. (kwanwoo.jun@wsj.com)

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